September 23, 2013

Week 3 Recap and Other Football Things You Should Be Reading

I should have seen it coming.  In fact I did prophecy that 14 - 2 last week was too good to be true, and now I'm posting my second-ever sub-0.500 picks record on this blog at a measly 7 - 9. 

I may have gone 43% but the Saints are 3 - 0.  And my fantasy team featuring Eli Manning and/or Colin Kaepernick at QB (a combined 10 points this week) may have been a foregone conclusion, but the Saints are 3 - 0.  And the rest of the NFC South is 2 - 7.  And the rest of the NFC leaders from 2012 (49ers, Packers, Falcons and Redskins) all have losing records.  Life is good, my friends.  Life. Is. Good.  Now for the other good stuff:

Week 3: The Good Stuff

The AFC Turnaround - An inherent bias that I have--that has served me well for a few years, by the way--is that the AFC is no match for the NFC.  It sure did bite me in the behind this week in the picks, but kudos to the AFC for going 6 - 2 in inter-league play.  This includes the Browns' and Colts' improbable wins away from home against the Vikings and 49ers, respectively as well as the Dolphins and the Bengals proving they are for real.

Andy Reid's Revenge - Or more appropriately, the rise of a new defensive power that just plain neutered that Eagles spread offense we were fawning over two weeks ago.  It takes a lot to shut up a rabid pack of Philly faithful, but Kansas City pummeled this Thursday night crowd into apathy by forcing 5 turnovers and 7 three-and-outs.  Does anyone else get the distinct feeling that Chip Kelly will be transitioning to the SEC under the cover of night if the rest of this season doesn't go so well?  Then again, given that Michael Vick has a 1-year contract I might be going a little overboard.

The Colts' Guts - A lot of attention was given to the 49ers this week for how Colin Kaepernick and Jim Harbaugh would respond after an ugly loss in Seattle last Sunday night.  After all, Harbaugh had never lost two consecutive games as a Niners coach and Kaepernick had not lost at home since he took the starting job less than a year ago.  You may be asking yourself after this week what's wrong with San Francisco, but that would undersell what the Colts did this week as 10-point underdogs in Candlestick.  Andrew Luck didn't have the flashiest performance against his former Stanford coach, but there was no need with the running game and defense firing on all cylinders.  Indy held the allegedly explosive Niners to 250 total yards and 7 points.  That is pretty darn hard to do outside of CenturyLink Field.

Nailed It!  My Best Week 3 Prediction - Well, beggars can't be choosers I guess.  Go figure the pick I felt least sure about ended up making me look slightly less ridiculous this week:
  • Per my anxiety that I won't be able to scratch the surface of 14 - 2 again this season, this game really could go either way in my opinion... Dallas has the offensive chops to keep this one out of St. Louis' reach, and should Romo wake up on the right side of the bed that day, the Cowboys are the more talented team.

Week 3: The Bad Stuff


A Giant Nadir - I'm not sure anyone could have anticipated a worse week for the Giants than their first two of the 2013 season, but here it is. New York is already -9 in turnovers and Eli Manning was sacked a redrankulous 7 times on Sunday.  He couldn't even give Team Bakery Special one freaking garbage time touchdown just to save a little face.  What's more, the Giants are sporting a league-worst 38 points allowed per game, giving the woeful Redskins something to look forward to if things don't improve.  The upside?  At least Tom Coughlin is already turning to the ultimate totem of season-ending futility, Curtis Painter.  The last time Painter got to drive a team into the ground they ended up with Andrew Luck.  Perhaps the Giants will drown-ey for Clowney this season?

The Texans' Smoke-and-Mirrors Defense - It's no secret that I've been hoping the Texans will become a new AFC power as the Mannings, Bradys and Roethlisbergers of the world get a little longer in the tooth.  A big reason for that is Houston's high-profile defense that was so unorthodox and opportunistic... for the first part of last season.  But they've given up 20 or more points in 9 of their last 12 games, and it's finally time for me to take off the rose-tinted glasses when it comes to Houston.  To be fair, the Texans' lopsided loss in Baltimore this week wasn't exactly a Flacco-laden barn burner with the Ravens scoring TDs on defense and special teams, but they certainly weren't doing any favors for a team that can't sustain drives consistently or keep opponents out of field goal range.

Shanked It!  My Worst Week 3 Prediction: The Dolphins might really have a shot this year, y'all.  Heck, I'll buy 'em shots for beating the Falcons on Sunday, who almost got a win with a well-rounded performance in Miami but couldn't close the deal late in the game:
  • The fair-weather fans will be out in full force at Sun Life Stadium to cheer on the not-Marlins while LeBron is on vacation, but I think it ends when Matt Ryan comes to town.  This one is still well within reach for the Dolphins if they can get ample pressure on Ryan while the pocket is shaky, but they haven't played a team this good yet during their "streak."

Week 3 Feature: Other Football Things You Should Be Reading

...Because friends don't let friends read Bleacher Report.  I promise the "woe is me" will end when I pick my sad little predictin' self off the ground and get back to respectability one day.  But while I search for a paper bag for my head, here are some other football-related things you should consume in the meantime:
  • Dave Dameshek - It's no "C'mon Man," but I enjoy Dave Dameshek's recurring video series The Shek Report (formerly The Shame Report) featuring the week's football lowlights.  It's a nice little pick-me-up during the unbearable non-football days between Tuesday and Wednesday.  Even more entertaining but more intermittent is the N "if" L animated shorts where Dameshek creates alternate endings to some of the biggest "what ifs" in the game's storied history.  So if you've ever wondered what would happen if the Tuck Rule had never been invented or if Drew Brees had gone to Miami instead of New Orleans--with Ace Ventura jokes incorporated in the process--this is your guy.
  • Nate Jackson - Most of these guys are just civilians like this 5-foot blogger with two thumbs, but there's no better football writer from the trenches in my opinion than former pro tight end Nate Jackson.  Jackson is as honest and eloquent as they come when shedding insight on the complicated world of professional sports, especially for those outside of the Pro Bowl limelight, and the physical and financial risks that come with the career.  I'm salivating over his new book, but you can check out an excellent archive of his posts on Deadspin over the years here in the meantime.
  • Deadspin Trolling Bleacher Report and Grantland - I admit it, I frequent Grantland from time to time and often enjoyably so.  They were mighty generous in their coverage of the Grizzlies and Memphis by extension in the Spring, and I like Bill Barnwell's often overly elaborate stats and hyper-logical take on play calling for reward over risk because that is a job I'd like to have.  Anyway, that's all well and good but when it's not revealing scandalous imaginary girlfriends or Brett Favre's, erm, cellular activity, Deadspin is pretty much the best at trolling other sites that you know you shouldn't really like in the first place. Especially when Bill Simmons is involved.  It's like your sardonic eye-rolling best friend in a high school movie there to affirm how mindless jock culture (Bleacher Report) is and how overly self-important nerds (Grantland) can be.

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